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predict.fun
BNB Chain prediction market with yield on open positions and $1.8B+ cumulative volume
3.9/ 5
Our score
Good
Market types
PoliticsSportsCrypto
Settles in
USDT and USDC
Trading fees
Makers 0%; takers 0.018% to 2%, depending on share price and whether a 10% discount is active
Available in the US
No
What is predict.fun?
Predict.fun is a real-money prediction market on BNB Chain. Traders buy and sell shares tied to future outcomes, with prices expressed in cents as the market's implied probability. The platform reported more than $1.8 billion in cumulative trading volume in March 2026 and offers yield on selected open positions.
Company and backing
The operator is PDF Labs Limited, which is organized under British Virgin Islands law. Predict.fun was founded by Ding, also known online as dingaling. His previous work includes Head of Research at Binance, founding PancakeSwap, and creating LooksRare and boop.fun. YZi Labs backed the project through its EASY Residency programme, and YZi Labs and Susquehanna Crypto announced a strategic funding round on March 31, 2026.
How trading works
Markets cover politics and sports, as well as crypto, esports, finance, technology, and weather. Traders choose YES or NO, or an outcome in a multi-outcome market, and trade against other participants rather than a bookmaker. Predict uses UMA's Optimistic Oracle for market resolution, while 15-minute stock price markets added on September 23, 2026 use Chainlink oracle infrastructure.
Direct sign-up with Google or email creates a gasless Predict Smart Wallet; X is also supported. Predict says it never has access to the wallet's private keys. Binance Wallet offers a separate Prediction Account secured with Binance's Keyless MPC technology, and Binance sponsors its trading and settlement fees. Users connecting MetaMask or Trust Wallet keep their own wallet setup but pay network gas and approve trades separately.
Deposits and fees
Direct deposits accept USDT and USDC. The Predict Smart Wallet address accepts USDT on BNB Chain, while the Global Deposit Address supports USDC and USDT from networks including Ethereum, Base and Arbitrum. Sending BNB or another unsupported asset requires manual recovery. The minimum order size is $5. Makers pay 0%, while takers pay from 0.018% to 2%, depending on share price and whether a 10% discount is active.
On markets marked as yield-bearing, collateral behind open positions is routed to Venus Protocol's USDT pool. The rate changes with pool utilization, distributions run weekly, and Predict takes 10% of generated yield. Not every market has this feature.
Availability and track record
United States users are excluded under the platform's terms. Predict.fun is available directly through its website and through the Prediction tab in Binance Wallet for eligible users. It added 15-minute stock markets in September 2026 and reported $1.8 billion-plus cumulative volume in March 2026.
Resolution depends on oracle inputs, so disputes or incorrect data can affect settlement. Thin markets can make exits costly, while Venus exposure adds smart-contract and liquidity risk to yield-bearing positions. The BVI operator's mandatory arbitration terms and the Binance Wallet account's separate custody model create different legal and account-recovery arrangements.
Founders
DingFounder
Publicly known online as dingaling, he is described as a former Head of Research at Binance and the founder of PancakeSwap, LooksRare and boop.fun.
Best for:BNB Chain prediction tradersSports and politics marketsStablecoin-funded event tradingYield-seeking open positions
Pros and cons
Pros
- 0% maker fee for liquidity providers
- $1.8B+ cumulative volume reported in March 2026
- Gasless trading through the Predict Smart Wallet
- Selected open positions can earn Venus-linked yield
- Binance Wallet integration sponsors trading and settlement fees
Cons
- United States users are excluded under the platform's terms
- Taker fees can reach 2%
- Yield-bearing positions carry Venus Protocol exposure
- Unsupported deposits require manual recovery
- Resolution depends on oracle data and can be disputed
- Binance Wallet uses a separate account and custody model
Our review
3.9/5
Good
Predict.fun combines BNB Chain markets with yield on some open positions, but its US exclusion, variable taker fees, and resolution and custody risks narrow its appeal.
Predict.fun is a real-money prediction market on BNB Chain, with markets covering politics, sports, crypto, esports, finance, technology, economics, culture, and weather. Its newer 15-minute stock price markets use Chainlink oracle infrastructure, while the site describes UMA's optimistic oracle as part of its resolution stack. Resolution quality depends on the market rules and external data sources, not only on matched trades.
Trading uses USDT and USDC. Direct deposits can come through BNB Chain, while the Global Deposit Address accepts USDC and USDT from Ethereum, Base, and Arbitrum. The minimum order is $5. Makers pay 0%; takers pay 0.018% to 2%, depending on share price and whether the 10% discount is active. Taker fees can reach 2%.
Predict.fun reported more than $1.8 billion in cumulative trading volume in March 2026, and TVL was about $11.4 million on October 17, 2026. Those figures do not show how deep every individual market is, so thin order books and slippage remain possible outside popular events. The platform has also added Binance Wallet access, where Binance sponsors trading and settlement fees for eligible users.
Open positions in markets marked with a Yield badge route USDT collateral through Venus Protocol. The rate changes with Venus pool utilization, Predict takes 10% of generated yield, and distributions run weekly. This gives long-dated positions a use for idle collateral, but adds Venus liquidity and smart-contract exposure. Direct social-login accounts use a Predict Smart Wallet that the site describes as self-custodial; Binance Wallet uses a separate Binance-managed MPC account. Connected conventional wallets pay gas and require approvals.
The company is PDF Labs Limited, founded by Ding, also known as dingaling. His background includes Binance research, PancakeSwap, LooksRare, and boop.fun. YZi Labs and Susquehanna Crypto announced strategic backing in March 2026. The BVI operator and its mandatory arbitration terms add a legal trade-off, while US users are excluded.
Specs
| Market types | Politics, Sports, Crypto |
|---|---|
| Settles in | USDT and USDC · unverified |
| Chains | BNB Chain, Other |
| Trading fees | Makers 0%; takers 0.018% to 2%, depending on share price and whether a 10% discount is active · unverified |
| Resolution source | UMA Optimistic Oracle; Chainlink for 15-minute stock markets · unverified |
| Available in the US | No · unverified |
| Market topics | Politics, Sports, Crypto, Esports, Finance, Technology, Economics, Culture, Weather · unverified |
Not disclosed by the provider: KYC required, Regulated venue, Mobile app, Liquidity rewards.
Data from the provider's website and public sources. Fees and availability change; confirm on the official site before you sign up.
Key features
Real-money markets
Trade shares on politics, sports, crypto, esports, finance, culture and weather outcomes. Prices represent implied probabilities.
BNB Chain trading
The core prediction market runs on BNB Chain, with USDC and USDT deposits also supported from Ethereum, Base and Arbitrum.
Oracle settlement
UMA's Optimistic Oracle resolves markets, while 15-minute stock price markets use Chainlink oracle infrastructure.
Gasless smart wallet
Google, X or email sign-up creates a Predict Smart Wallet with gasless trades and no separate approval step.
Binance Wallet access
Eligible Binance Wallet users can trade from the Prediction tab through a separate Prediction Account secured by Binance's Keyless MPC technology.
Yield on positions
Selected yield-bearing markets route USDT collateral through Venus Protocol, with weekly distributions and a 10% fee on generated yield.
Variable taker fees
Maker fees are 0%. Taker fees range from 0.018% to 2%, depending on share price and an active 10% discount.
Multi-outcome markets
Some markets offer more than YES or NO. Traders can select a preferred outcome from several possibilities.
Inside predict.fun
Trending
This section lists markets attracting current attention. Traders can open a market and take a position on its listed outcomes.
Live
Live markets are active events with prices that move as trades are matched. Share prices represent the market's implied probability.
Sports
Sports markets cover competitions and winner markets, including the English Premier League, LaLiga, Serie A, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, UEFA Champions League, NBA, NFL, and MLB.
Politics
Politics markets let traders buy shares on future political outcomes, with prices changing as the market trades.
Crypto
Crypto markets cover outcomes tied to digital assets and their future prices or events.
Esports
Esports markets cover competitive gaming events and their possible outcomes.
Finance
Finance markets cover financial events, including the 15-minute stock price up/down markets introduced in September 2026.
Tech
Tech markets cover outcomes linked to technology events and developments.
Economy
Economy markets cover economic outcomes and indicators presented as tradable event shares.
Culture
Culture markets cover outcomes from cultural events and subjects.
predict.fun screenshots
User reviews
No user reviews yet. Have you used predict.fun? Share your experience below.
Funding and investors
1Round
2Investors
-
Strategic Apr 2026 Amount undisclosedSource
FAQ
Who founded predict.fun?
Predict.fun was founded by Ding, also known as dingaling. His professional background includes Head of Research at Binance and founding PancakeSwap, LooksRare, and boop.fun.
What are predict.fun's trading fees?
Makers pay 0%, while takers pay 0.018% to 2% depending on share price and whether a 10% discount is active. The minimum order size is $5.
Is predict.fun available in the United States?
No, United States users are excluded under predict.fun's terms.
How does custody work on predict.fun?
A Google, X, or email sign-up creates a self-custodial Predict Smart Wallet, and Predict says it does not access the user's private keys. Binance Wallet trading uses a separate Prediction Account secured by Binance's Keyless MPC technology.
Which chains and assets does predict.fun support?
Predict.fun is built on BNB Chain and accepts USDT or USDC deposits. Its Global Deposit Address supports deposits from Ethereum, Base, and Arbitrum, while BNB itself cannot be deposited.
How are predict.fun markets resolved?
Markets resolve through the rules and data sources specified for each event, with UMA's optimistic oracle used in the platform's resolution infrastructure. The 15-minute stock price markets added in September 2026 use Chainlink oracle infrastructure.
Latest from predict.fun on X
The $PREDICT TGE and Season 1 airdrop claim has been delayed in line with the postponement of Binance Alpha and Spot trading.
We will announce the revised claim date and time as soon as there is confirmation.
We apologize for the inconvenience and appreciate your patience and understanding.
We will announce the revised claim date and time as soon as there is confirmation.
We apologize for the inconvenience and appreciate your patience and understanding.
The final Season 1 PP calculation is complete!
You can now check your final PP score and leaderboard ranking at:
🔮 https://t.co/vbxni84nN7
Your $PREDICT airdrop allocation will be revealed tomorrow (Friday, October 30), with claims opening at 9AM UTC.
Ahead of the claim, you can also choose to receive your $PREDICT tokens at a different address instead of your Predict account address.
Head to the Points page to review your results and set your preferred claim address.
You can now check your final PP score and leaderboard ranking at:
🔮 https://t.co/vbxni84nN7
Your $PREDICT airdrop allocation will be revealed tomorrow (Friday, October 30), with claims opening at 9AM UTC.
Ahead of the claim, you can also choose to receive your $PREDICT tokens at a different address instead of your Predict account address.
Head to the Points page to review your results and set your preferred claim address.
We're excited to announce that $PREDICT will be featured in the Pre-TGE Prime Sale on @BinanceWallet!
📅 October 29, 2026, 08:00–10:00 UTC
More details, including the Event Portal, will be shared soon. https://t.co/jsVMNlI7Gh
📅 October 29, 2026, 08:00–10:00 UTC
More details, including the Event Portal, will be shared soon. https://t.co/jsVMNlI7Gh
https://t.co/B7iJrxGWgM
Recent public posts from @predictdotfun, shown as published. Not reviewed or endorsed by CryptoReview.
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