Manifold vs Polymarket

How Manifold vs Polymarket compare on our ratings, prediction market specs, funding, pros and cons.

VS
Feature
Ratings
Our score3.6/54.0/5
User ratingNo reviews yetNo reviews yet
Market selection4.54.5
Liquidity2.54.5
Fees4.03.0
Resolution quality2.54.0
Ease of use4.54.0
Specs
Market typesPolitics, Sports, Crypto, Economics, Culture, SciencePolitics, Sports, Crypto, Economics, Culture
Settles inMana (virtual play currency)pUSD, a crypto collateral token backed by USDC
ChainsNot disclosedPolygon
Trading fees10% x amount_traded x (1 - max_price_per_share_bought)Not disclosed
Resolution sourceMarket creator resolution subject to community guidelinesUMA Optimistic Oracle
Available in the US Yes No
KYC required NoNot disclosed
Regulated venue No No
Market topicsNews, Politics, Tech & AI, Science, Economics, Personal goalsPolitics, Elections, Sports, Crypto, Finance, Geopolitics, Technology, Culture, Weather, Economics
Mobile app YesNot disclosed
Liquidity rewardsNot disclosed Yes
Company
Founded20212020
HeadquartersUnited StatesUnited States
InvestorsAstral Codex Ten, FTX Future Fund, Survival and Flourishing Fund1789 Capital, Intercontinental Exchange, Founders Fund, General Catalyst +26
Strengths and weaknesses
Pros
  • Free registration includes a starting grant of 1,000 Mana
  • Open market creation lets any user propose custom questions
  • No mandatory KYC verification required for standard forecasting
  • Available globally as a play-money prediction platform
  • Broad markets across politics, sports, crypto and current events
  • Non-custodial trading with onchain positions
  • Polygon supports pUSD collateral and ERC-1155 outcome tokens
  • UMA provides a defined challenge process for supported markets
Cons
  • Market creators handle resolutions, introducing subjectivity and dispute risk
  • Mana play currency cannot be withdrawn or converted to fiat cash
  • Lack of real cash payouts
  • Unregulated venue with no statutory investor protections
  • International trading is blocked for US residents
  • Country restrictions include the United Kingdom, France, Germany and Japan
  • Thin liquidity can increase entry and exit costs
  • Resolution disputes can delay or change settlement outcomes
Best forCasual forecasters testing predictive calibration, Community organizers hosting custom wagers, Users who want to forecast without real-money stakesEvent probability traders, Onchain prediction market users, Politics and sports markets

Highlighted cells show the stronger value in each row. Data comes from each provider's site and public sources; check details before you sign up.

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