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Manifold vs Polymarket US

How Manifold vs Polymarket US compare on our ratings, prediction market specs, funding, pros and cons.

Manifold3.6/5
VS
Polymarket US4.1/5
Feature
ManifoldVisit
Polymarket USVisit
Ratings
Our score3.6/54.1/5
User ratingNo reviews yetNo reviews yet
Market selection4.54.5
Liquidity2.54.5
Fees4.04.0
Resolution quality2.53.5
Ease of use4.54.0
Specs
Market typesPolitics, Sports, Crypto, Economics, Culture, SciencePolitics, Sports, Crypto, Weather
Settles inMana (virtual play currency)USD
ChainsNot disclosedOther
Trading fees10% x amount_traded x (1 - max_price_per_share_bought)0% maker fee; taker fees vary by contract type
Resolution sourceMarket creator resolution subject to community guidelinesSettlement Committee and centralized exchange reports
Available in the US Yes Yes
KYC required No Yes
Regulated venue No Yes
Market topicsNews, Politics, Tech & AI, Science, Economics, Personal goalsNFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Tennis, Soccer, US Midterms, Elections, Cryptocurrency, Weather
Mobile app Yes Yes
Liquidity rewardsNot disclosed Yes
Company
Founded20212020
HeadquartersUnited StatesUnited States
InvestorsAstral Codex Ten, FTX Future Fund, Survival and Flourishing FundFounders Fund, Intercontinental Exchange, 1789 Capital
Strengths and weaknesses
Pros
  • Free registration includes a starting grant of 1,000 Mana
  • Open market creation lets any user propose custom questions
  • No mandatory KYC verification required for standard forecasting
  • Available globally as a play-money prediction platform
  • CFTC Designated Contract Market status
  • Zero maker trading fees with maker rebates supported by taker fees
  • Combo functionality enables grouping 2 to 10 markets into one trade
  • The broader Polymarket entity has disclosed $2.764B in funding, including a $1B investment from Intercontinental Exchange
Cons
  • Market creators handle resolutions, introducing subjectivity and dispute risk
  • Mana play currency cannot be withdrawn or converted to fiat cash
  • Lack of real cash payouts
  • Unregulated venue with no statutory investor protections
  • Strict identity verification required, excluding anonymous trading
  • Restricted exclusively to United States residents
  • Centralized clearing model exposes users to clearinghouse counterparty risk
  • Disputed or unresolvable legs rely on discretionary pricing from an internal Settlement Committee
Best forCasual forecasters testing predictive calibration, Community organizers hosting custom wagers, Users who want to forecast without real-money stakesUS residents trading regulated event contracts, Sports bettors building multi-leg combo positions, Political forecasters following US midterm elections

Highlighted cells show the stronger value in each row. Data comes from each provider's site and public sources; check details before you sign up.