Kalshi vs Polymarket: Regulated USD exchange vs onchain market

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market in New York City, founded in 2018, where traders buy Yes or No event contracts with cash balances that settle in US dollars. Polymarket, founded by Shayne Coplan in 2020, runs its international platform on Polygon. Collateral there is pUSD, a token backed by USDC, and positions are ERC-1155 tokens held in the trader's own wallet.

Custody is the clearest split. Kalshi holds cash centrally, requires full KYC and offers no on-chain withdrawals. Polymarket's international product is non-custodial, so losing a private key can mean losing access to funds. Resolution differs too: Kalshi relies on official government and industry statistics, while Polymarket uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle, where disputes can delay or change settlement. Then there is access. Kalshi is available in the US. Polymarket's international site blocks US residents and restricts the United Kingdom, France, Germany and Japan, while US trading runs through a separate CFTC-regulated venue, QCX LLC d/b/a Polymarket US.

Kalshi4.3/5
VS

Quick verdict

The deciding difference is custody and regulation. Kalshi is a federally regulated, custodial exchange with dollar balances and more than $2 billion in weekly volume across major events in May 2026. Polymarket's international platform keeps funds onchain in the user's wallet, which removes exchange custody but adds smart-contract and key-management risk; a June 2026 frontend compromise involved $3 million.

Choose Kalshi if US residency, dollar settlement and federal oversight come first. It has REST, WebSocket and FIX APIs, tick sizes down to $0.0001, subaccount isolation and perpetual futures on crypto and the US 500 index. The trade-off is full identity verification, with no on-chain withdrawals and regulatory exclusions such as the 2026 trading ban on US Senate staff.

Choose Polymarket if trading from a supported country outside the US with a self-custodied wallet matters more than a dollar account. Its topic list is wider and it pays liquidity rewards. Its editorial fee rating is 3 against Kalshi's 4, thin liquidity in some markets can raise entry and exit costs, and UMA disputes can delay settlement.

Feature
Ratings
Our score4.3/54.0/5
User ratingNo reviews yetNo reviews yet
Market selection4.54.5
Liquidity4.54.5
Fees4.03.0
Resolution quality4.54.0
Ease of use4.04.0
Specs
Market typesPolitics, Sports, Crypto, Economics, Culture, WeatherPolitics, Sports, Crypto, Economics, Culture
Settles inUSDpUSD, a crypto collateral token backed by USDC
ChainsOtherPolygon
Trading feesModel fee rounded to $0.000001 precision with balance rounding feesNot disclosed
Resolution sourceOfficial government and industry statistics, primary source reportingUMA Optimistic Oracle
Available in the US Yes No
KYC required YesNot disclosed
Regulated venue Yes No
Market topicsElections, Macroeconomics, Sports, Cryptocurrency, Weather, Financial IndicesPolitics, Elections, Sports, Crypto, Finance, Geopolitics, Technology, Culture, Weather, Economics
Liquidity rewardsNot disclosed Yes
Company
Founded20182020
HeadquartersUnited StatesUnited States
InvestorsBaillie Gifford, Layer Global, TCV, Coatue +91789 Capital, Intercontinental Exchange, Founders Fund, General Catalyst +26
Strengths and weaknesses
Pros
  • Registered Designated Contract Market status provides federal regulatory oversight for US-based traders
  • Deep liquidity exceeding $2B in weekly volume across major events in May 2026
  • Transparent dollar-denominated balances eliminate stablecoin depeg risks
  • Subpenny orderbook precision down to $0.0001 allows fine-grained execution
  • Broad markets across politics, sports, crypto and current events
  • Non-custodial trading with onchain positions
  • Polygon supports pUSD collateral and ERC-1155 outcome tokens
  • UMA provides a defined challenge process for supported markets
Cons
  • Requires full identity verification (KYC), preventing anonymous participation
  • Centralized custody of cash balances without on-chain asset withdrawals
  • Subject to regulatory exclusions, including a 2026 trading ban on US Senate staff
  • Unprofitable to profitable user ratio reached 2.9 to 1 in 2026
  • International trading is blocked for US residents
  • Country restrictions include the United Kingdom, France, Germany and Japan
  • Thin liquidity can increase entry and exit costs
  • Resolution disputes can delay or change settlement outcomes
Best forUS residents wanting regulated event contracts, Quantitative traders using FIX and REST APIs, Sports bettors preferring central orderbook pricingEvent probability traders, Onchain prediction market users, Politics and sports markets

Highlighted cells show the stronger value in each row. Data comes from each provider's site and public sources; check details before you sign up.

FAQ

Which one works in the US, Kalshi or Polymarket?

Kalshi works for US residents as a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market. Polymarket's international platform blocks US residents, and US trading runs through Polymarket US, operated by QCX LLC under its own CFTC license.

Is Kalshi cheaper than Polymarket?

Kalshi has the higher editorial fee rating, 4 out of 5 against Polymarket's 3. Kalshi charges a model fee rounded to $0.000001 precision plus balance rounding fees.

Do Kalshi and Polymarket hold user funds?

Kalshi does, and Polymarket's international platform does not. Kalshi keeps cash balances centrally with no on-chain withdrawals, while Polymarket positions and pUSD collateral stay in the user's wallet.

How are markets resolved on Kalshi and Polymarket?

Kalshi resolves contracts from official government and industry statistics and primary source reporting. Polymarket uses UMA's Optimistic Oracle, which accepts a proposed outcome, allows challenges and sends disputes to UMA.

Has Polymarket had a security incident?

Yes. A June 2026 frontend compromise at Polymarket involved $3 million.

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